India-Salip-Hong-Kong

Jakarta, Beritarokokslot.comΒ –Β Kapitalisasi pasar saham India telah menyalip Hong Kong dengan nilai US$ 3,99 triliun (Rp 61.845 triliun) pada akhir November 2023. Angka tersebut lebih tinggi dibandingkan dengan bursa efek Hong Kong yang senilai US$ 3,98 triliun (Rp 61.690 triliun).

Menurut data dari Federasi Bursa Efek Dunia, capaian tersebut membuat bursa efek nasional India menjadi yang terbesar ketujuh di dunia seiring dengan meningkatnya optimisme mengenai prospek ekonomi negara tersebut.

Mengutip CNBC Internasional, indeks Nifty 50 India telah melonjak hampir 16% sepanjang tahun ini dan sedang menuju kenaikan delapan tahun berturut-turut. Sementara indeks acuan Hong Kong, Hang Seng, telah anjlok 18% dari tahun ke tahun, menjadikannya pasar utama Asia Pasifik dengan kinerja terburuk.

India telah menjadi pasar yang menonjol tahun ini di kawasan Asia Pasifik dengan peningkatan likuiditas, lebih banyak partisipasi domestik, dan membaiknya dinamika lingkungan makro global dalam bentuk penurunan imbal hasil obligasi AS telah mendorong kinerja pasar saham India.

Negara dengan populasi terpadat di dunia ini juga akan mengadakan pemilihan umum tahun depan, yang menurut para analis akan menjadi kemenangan bagi Partai Bharatiya Janata yang berkuasa.

“Untuk pemilihan umum, jajak pendapat dan pemilihan di negara bagian baru-baru ini mengindikasikan bahwa pemerintah petahana yang dipimpin oleh BJP mungkin akan meraih kemenangan yang menentukan, yang dapat memicu kenaikan saham dalam tiga sampai empat bulan pertama tahun ini karena ekspektasi akan kelanjutan kebijakan,” para ahli strategi HSBC mengatakan dalam sebuah catatan untuk para klien, dikutip Selasa (12/12).

HSBC mengatakan bahwa industri perbankan, perawatan kesehatan dan energi adalah sektor-sektor dengan posisi terbaik tahun depan. Selain itu, sektor-sektor seperti otomotif, ritel, real estat, dan telekomunikasi juga memiliki posisi yang relatif baik untuk tahun 2024.

Sedangkan barang-barang konsumen yang bergerak cepat (FMCG), utilitas, dan bahan kimia termasuk di antara sektor-sektor yang dikategorikan kurang baik oleh HSBC.

Di sisi lain, Indeks Hang Seng Hong Kong mencatatkan penurunan di tahun keempat dan merupakan yang terburuk di antara pasar ekuitas utama Asia Pasifik. Minggu lalu, Moody’s memangkas prospek Hong Kong dari stabil menjadi negatif, dengan alasan keterkaitan kondisi dan hubungan keuangan, politik, institusional, dan ekonomi kota ini dengan Tiongkok.

Penurunan peringkat tersebut terjadi segera setelah Moody’s menurunkan prospek peringkat kredit pemerintah RRT dari negatif menjadi stabil.

Penurunan peringkat kredit Hong Kong oleh Moody’s tersebut dianggal tidak adil oleh menteri keuangan Hong Kong. Pemerintah Hong Kong mengatakan bahwa mereka memperkirakan ekonomi akan tumbuh 3,2% pada tahun 2023, memangkas proyeksi pertumbuhan PDB dari perkiraan 4% menjadi 5% pada bulan Agustus.

Pemerintah kota ini telah memperingatkan bahwa meningkatnya ketegangan geopolitik dan kondisi keuangan yang ketat terus membebani investasi, ekspor barang, dan sentimen konsumsi. Kepercayaan konsumen juga menurun di Hong Kong.

“Ekonomi Hong Kong siap untuk melakukan soft landing pada tahun 2024 karena pertumbuhan PDB riil tahunan moderat menjadi sekitar 2% dari 3,5% pada tahun 2023,” kata para ekonom di DBS.

“Inti dari pemulihan ini adalah kebangkitan pariwisata di daratan, memperkuat sektor ritel dan katering,” imbuhnya.

107 thoughts on “India Salip Hong Kong Jadi Pasar Saham Terbesar Ke-7 di Dunia”
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